BSIERP Management Strategy Evaluation, Andre Punt, NPRB B.73 Model output for 1979-2012 Hindcast
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Metadata:
- Identification_Information:
-
- Citation:
-
- Citation_Information:
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- Originator: Andre Punt, Kirstin Holsman, Jim Ianelli, Liz Moffitt
- Publication_Date: 2015
- Title:
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BSIERP Management Strategy Evaluation, Andre Punt, NPRB B.73 Model output for
1979-2012 Hindcast
- Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: tabular digital data
- Description:
-
- Abstract:
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Annual estimated results from CEATTLE and individual age-structured models for hindcast period
1979-2012.
Four climate scenarios are considered for MSMtA and MSMtB because temperature influences
weight-at-age and the predation mortality function in MSMt.
Forecasts were based on downscaled temperature data forced ROMS model (Herman et al. 2013).
The ROMS-NPZD model (Hermann et al. 2013) was set-up to run in forecast mode using input
from selected Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models that performed well for the
Eastern Bering Sea.
The four scenarios are:
1) future temperature is constant and equal to the mean of historical temperatures (temperature scenario 1),
and future temperature in each projection year is the mean summer water column temperature predicted
from a ROMS model for the Bering Sea forced by three statistically downscaled global climate
models based on the IPCC A1B climate scenario (Wang et al., 2010), including:
(temperature scenario 2) ECHO-G version 4, T30 resolution model (Legutke and Voss, 1999),
(temperature scenario 3) CCMA model (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis CGCM3-t47;
Flato et al., 2000, Flato and Boer 2001, Kim et al. 2002, 2003),
(temperature scenario 4) MIROC 3.2 (Watanabe et al., 2011, K-1 model developers, 2004).
Average temperature was extracted from these simulations to use as input forcing files in CEATTLE
A single realization of each of these three climate scenarios was used for atmospheric
forcing and oceanic boundary conditions for the regional ROMS forecasts of the Bering Sea (present to 2040).
Adult biomass (age 2+; "Age2plus_Biomass"), Age 1 recruitment ( "Rec_age1"), female spawning
biomass ("SpawningBiomass"), predation mortality (by age; "M2_PredationMort"), other
mortality (by age; "M1_otherMort"), fishing mortality (by age; "F_FishingMort"), and annual
catch ("Catch") of walleye pollock ("plk") , arrowtooth flounder ("atf") and Pacific cod ("pcod") from the Climate-Enhanced Age-based model with Temperature-specific Trophic Linkages and Energetics (CEATTLE) model.
Hermann, A.J., Gibson, G.A., Bond, N.A., Curchitser, E.N., Hedstrom, K., Cheng, W., Wang, M., Stabeno, P.J., Eisner, L., Ciecel, K.D., 2013. A multivariate analysis of observed and modeled biophysical variability on the Bering Sea shelf: Multidecadal hindcasts (1970-2009) and forecasts (2010-2040). Deep Sea Res. II 94, 121–139.
Hermann, A.J., Gibson, G.A., Bond, N.A., Curchitser, E.N., Hedstrom, K., Cheng, W., Wang, M., and Stabeno, P.J. in review. Projected futures biophysical states of the Bering Sea. Deep Sea Reasearch II 00:00-00.
Legutke, S. and R. Voss (1999). The Hamburg atmosphere-ocean coupled model ECHO-G. Technical Report~18, German Climate Computer Center (DKRZ).
Wang, M., Overland, J.E., Bond, N.A, 2010. Climate projections for selected large marine ecosystems. J. Mar.e Sys. 79, 258–266.
- Purpose:
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The hindcast goes from 1979 to 2012. Model results are shown when there is (a) and is
not (b) annually varying mortality from inter- and intra-specific predation.
Catch, index and ration, catch-at-age and suitability data are archived at the
Alaska Fisheries Science Center.
- Supplemental_Information:
-
Three hindcast scenarios are provided. One set are single-species model estimates as used in
the present stock assessment context, a second is with time-varying temperature-dependent
weight-at-age, and a third set accounts for annual predation from other species in the model
The methods are given in Holsman et al. (in review) "A comparison of fisheries biological reference points estimated from temperature-specific multi-species and single-species climate-enhanced stock assessment models." This paper is in review in BSIERP Deep Sea Research II Special Issue.
These further details are also presented in a companion paper (which includes the single species model; Ianelli et al. BSIERP Deep Sea Research II Special Issue (in Press))
- Time_Period_of_Content:
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- Time_Period_Information:
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- Range_of_Dates/Times:
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- Beginning_Date: 197901
- Ending_Date: 201212
- Currentness_Reference: ground condition
- Status:
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- Progress: Complete
- Maintenance_and_Update_Frequency: none
- Spatial_Domain:
-
- Description_of_Geographic_Extent: Eastern Bering Sea Shelf
- Bounding_Coordinates:
-
- West_Bounding_Coordinate: -178.0
- East_Bounding_Coordinate: -150.0
- North_Bounding_Coordinate: 61.0
- South_Bounding_Coordinate: 54.0
- Keywords:
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- Theme:
-
- Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: ISO19115
- Theme_Keyword: Biota
- Theme_Keyword: Environment
- Theme_Keyword: Oceans
- Theme:
-
- Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: none
- Theme_Keyword: CEATTLE
- Theme_Keyword: AMAK
- Theme_Keyword: hindcast
- Theme_Keyword: forecast
- Theme_Keyword: model output
- Theme_Keyword: BSIERP
- Theme_Keyword: physical oceanography
- Theme_Keyword: predator prey
- Place:
-
- Place_Keyword_Thesaurus: none
- Place_Keyword: Alaska
- Place_Keyword: Eastern Bering Sea
- Taxonomy:
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- Keywords/Taxon:
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- Taxonomic_Keyword_Thesaurus: none
- Taxonomic_Keywords: groundfish
- Taxonomic_Keywords: arrowtooth flounder
- Taxonomic_Keywords: Pacific cod
- Taxonomic_Keywords: pollock
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Kingdom
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Animalia
- Applicable_Common_Name: animals
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Subkingdom
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Bilateria
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Infrakingdom
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Deuterostomia
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Phylum
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Chordata
- Applicable_Common_Name: chordates
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Subphylum
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Vertebrata
- Applicable_Common_Name: vertebrates
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Infraphylum
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gnathostomata
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Superclass
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Osteichthyes
- Applicable_Common_Name: bony fishes
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Class
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Actinopterygii
- Applicable_Common_Name: ray-finned fishes
- Applicable_Common_Name: spiny rayed fishes
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Subclass
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Neopterygii
- Applicable_Common_Name: neopterygians
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Infraclass
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Teleostei
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Superorder
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Paracanthopterygii
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Order
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadiformes
- Applicable_Common_Name: grenadiers
- Applicable_Common_Name: gadiforms
- Applicable_Common_Name: cods
- Applicable_Common_Name: hakes
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Family
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadidae
- Applicable_Common_Name: codfishes
- Applicable_Common_Name: true cods
- Applicable_Common_Name: cods
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Subfamily
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadinae
- Applicable_Common_Name: cods
- Applicable_Common_Name: haddock
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Genus
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadus
- Applicable_Common_Name: common codfishes
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Species
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadus macrocephalus
- Applicable_Common_Name: Pacific cod
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Species
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Gadus chalcogrammus
- Applicable_Common_Name: Walleye Pollock
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Superorder
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Acanthopterygii
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Order
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Pleuronectiformes
- Applicable_Common_Name: flatfishes
- Applicable_Common_Name: flounders
- Applicable_Common_Name: soles
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Suborder
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Pleuronectoidei
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Family
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Pleuronectidae
- Applicable_Common_Name: halibuts
- Applicable_Common_Name: dabs
- Applicable_Common_Name: righteye flounders
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Subfamily
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Hippoglossinae
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Genus
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Reinhardtius
- Taxonomic_Classification:
-
- Taxon_Rank_Name: Species
- Taxon_Rank_Value: Reinhardtius stomias
- Applicable_Common_Name: arrowtooth flounder
- Access_Constraints:
-
There are no legal restrictions on access to the data. They reside in public domain and can be freely distributed.
- Use_Constraints:
-
Must cite originator if used in publications, reports, presentations, etc.
- Point_of_Contact:
-
- Contact_Information:
-
- Contact_Organization_Primary:
-
- Contact_Organization:
-
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Alaska Fisheries Science Center (AFSC) Resource Ecology and Fisheries Management Division (REFM)
- Contact_Address:
-
- Address_Type: mailing and physical
- Address: 7600 Sand Point Way N.E., Bldg. 4
- City: Seattle
- State_or_Province: WA
- Postal_Code: 98115
- Country: USA
- Contact_Voice_Telephone: not available
- Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: kirstin.holsman@noaa.gov
- Native_Data_Set_Environment: ASCII csv file provided
- Data_Quality_Information:
-
- Attribute_Accuracy:
-
- Attribute_Accuracy_Report: stochastic model output
- Logical_Consistency_Report: not applicable
- Completeness_Report:
-
Files include main model output for entire hindcast (1979-2012) and forecast (2013-2039)
as labeled in column "Period"
- Lineage:
-
- Methodology:
-
- Methodology_Type: model
- Methodology_Description: Final report to NPRB B73 FEAST
- Methodology_Citation:
-
- Citation_Information:
-
- Originator: Andre Punt, Kirstin Holsman, Jim Ianelli, Liz Moffitt
- Publication_Date: 2015
- Title: Final Report to NPRB B73 MSE model
- Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: document
- Process_Step:
-
- Process_Description:
-
Population dynamics providing estimates of Annual female spawning biomass ("SpawningBiomass")
Field names are descriptive of model output delinated by colons, e.g., A:B:C where
A is the Fishing scenario (no fishing, Fishing at mean historical catch, fishing at maximum historical
catch)
B is stochastic model percentile (5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, and 95th)
C is the species (pollock, Pacific cod, or Arrowtooth flounder)
- Process_Date: Unknown
- Spatial_Data_Organization_Information:
-
- Direct_Spatial_Reference_Method: Point
- Entity_and_Attribute_Information:
-
- Detailed_Description:
-
- Entity_Type:
-
- Entity_Type_Label: Age structured population dynamics output file
- Entity_Type_Definition:
-
A flat CSV file of CEATTLE model output from various configurations
described by column for the period 1979-2012.
Each row represents an annual estimate of spawning biomass for each of the three species
pollock, Pacific cod, and arrowtooth flounder in corresponding field
- Entity_Type_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Period
- Attribute_Definition:
-
Character string describing if output is from the "forecast (2013-2039)" or "hindcast (1979-2012)"
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: NA
- Range_Domain_Maximum: , NA
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Model
- Attribute_Definition:
-
Character string describing which
population dynamics model was applied including:
"Single_species" treat each of the three stocks independently and use the assessment
model used for management.
"MSMtA" Multispecies (predator prey) interactions with growth modified by temperature through consumption and metabolism
"MSMtB" Multispecies model with growth modified by temperature but natural mortality held constant.
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: NA
- Range_Domain_Maximum: , NA
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Temperature
- Attribute_Definition:
-
Average summer water column temperature from data (for hindcast) or from a ROMS Climate model (for forecast)
in degrees Celcius
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.958988
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 4.465597
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Climate_Model
- Attribute_Definition:
-
Character string describing which global circulation model was used for the input
forcing files (NA if not applicable)
These include:
"Mean" (mean 1979-2012 surface temperatures in forecast)
"ECHO-G version 4, T30 resolution model” (Legutke and Voss, 1999),
"CCMA" (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis CGCM3-t47; Flato et al., 2000, Flato and Boer 2001, Kim et al. 2002, 2003),
“MIROC 3.2” (Watanabe et al., 2011, K-1 model developers, 2004)
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: NA
- Range_Domain_Maximum: , NA
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Year
- Attribute_Definition: Integer year
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 1979
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 2039
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: No_fishing:25th_percentile:Pollock
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 776882
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 5888930
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: No_fishing:50th_percentile:Pollock
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 850737
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 6884230
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: No_fishing:75th_percentile:Pollock
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 927466
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 8527950
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: No_fishing:95th_percentile:Pollock
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 1031730
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 12350900
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Mean_catch:5th_percentile:Pollock
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
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- Attribute:
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
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- Attribute_Domain_Values:
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- Attribute:
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
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- Attribute:
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
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- Attribute:
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
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- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
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-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 768182
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Mean_catch:75th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 793650
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Mean_catch:95th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 829697
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Max_Catch:5th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 79552
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 704677
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Max_Catch:25th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 115521
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 736894
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Max_Catch:50th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 761719
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Max_Catch:75th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 787191
- Attribute:
-
- Attribute_Label: Max_Catch:95th_percentile:Arrowtooth_Flounder
- Attribute_Definition: Female spawning biomass in metric tons
- Attribute_Definition_Source: AFSC
- Attribute_Domain_Values:
-
- Range_Domain:
-
- Range_Domain_Minimum: 123013
- Range_Domain_Maximum: 823205
- Overview_Description:
-
- Entity_and_Attribute_Overview:
-
Each row of the file contains the processed output for variables of the model CEATTLE
for the 1979-2012 hindcast or the 2013-2039 forecast.
- Entity_and_Attribute_Detail_Citation:
-
See stock assessment and fishery evaluation report for the
Bering Sea and Aleutian Island at
<http://www.afsc.noaa.gov/REFM/Stocks/assessments.htm> and
<http://www.afsc.noaa.gov/REFM/REEM/Models/MSM.htm> for multispecies modeling work.
- Distribution_Information:
-
- Distributor:
-
- Contact_Information:
-
- Contact_Organization_Primary:
-
- Contact_Organization: National Center for Atmospheric Research
- Contact_Person: Earth Observing Laboratory
- Contact_Address:
-
- Address_Type: mailing and physical
- Address: 3450 Mitchell Lane
- City: Boulder
- State_or_Province: CO
- Postal_Code: 80301
- Country: USA
- Contact_Voice_Telephone: 303-497-8154
- Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: codiac@ucar.edu
- Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: stott@ucar.edu
- Distribution_Liability:
-
No warranty expressed or implied is made regarding the accuracy or utility of the data, nor shall the act of distribution constitute any such warranty. This disclaimer applies both to individual use of the data and aggregate use with other data. It is strongly recommended that careful attention be paid to the contents of the metadata file associated with the data. The NCAR and NPRB shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of the data described and/or contained herein.
- Standard_Order_Process:
-
- Digital_Form:
-
- Digital_Transfer_Information:
-
- Format_Name: XLS
- File_Decompression_Technique: No compression applied
- Digital_Transfer_Option:
-
- Online_Option:
-
- Computer_Contact_Information:
-
- Network_Address:
-
- Network_Resource_Name: <http://beringsea.eol.ucar.edu>
- Fees: None
- Metadata_Reference_Information:
-
- Metadata_Date: 20140403
- Metadata_Contact:
-
- Contact_Information:
-
- Contact_Organization_Primary:
-
- Contact_Organization: North Pacific Research Board
- Contact_Person: Igor Katrayev
- Contact_Position: Data Systems Manager
- Contact_Address:
-
- Address_Type: mailing and physical
- Address: 1007W 3rd Ave Ste 100
- City: Anchorage
- State_or_Province: AK
- Postal_Code: 99501
- Country: USA
- Contact_Voice_Telephone: 1-907-644-6700
- Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: 1-907-644-6780
- Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: admin@nprb.org
- Metadata_Standard_Name:
-
FGDC Biological Data Profile of the Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata
- Metadata_Standard_Version: FGDC-STD-001.1-1999
This page is <http://www.eol.ucar.edu/projects/bsierp/docs/B73_Hindcast_output.html>
Generated by mp version 2.9.23 on Wed Apr 15 09:25:04 2015